New Home Sales Tank! No Duh...Everyone Should Have Seen It Coming

publication date: Aug 24, 2010
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author/source: Chris Prang
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My guess is, you've already seen or heard the news about existing home sales falling off a cliff. What dumbfounds me is, economists were actually surprised by the decline. They should have been surprised that it wasn't more.

Check out the headlines:


"The report shows the housing industry has hit more turbulence, is not leveling off and is worried about a nose-dive." -Mitchell Hochberg, a principal at Madden Real Estate Ventures in New York.

What else should have happened to existing home sales? Of course they were going to decline a lot. No discerning person would purchase a home right now...unless:
  1. They live in an area where values don't go up and down like a roller coaster
  2. Paid 25% less than market value
The main reasons why people aren't buying homes are:
The solution for the housing market?:
  1. No government subsidies.
  2. No interest rate subsidies.
  3. Hurry up and let all the foreclosures come to market. Or better yet, just let the people stay in them for a much reduced payment. After all it is created out of thin air money anyway and the lender has already received its return by accepting the promissory note. An exchange of "asset of like kind" has already taken place. If more people knew this, the banks would really be in trouble. Some have figured this out and courts have ruled that they no longer owe the bank the balance of their mortgage. But the odds of that happening are slim, so just let the foreclosures happen.
  4. Lower business and corporate taxes so companies will stay put and invest in capital and labor. This includes health care costs!
  5. Lower income taxes, capital gains taxes and any tax that is unconstitutional and oppresses people.
  6. Make legal immigration as appealing and easy as possible.
  7. Then wait it out for 5-10 years.



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