There seems to be some confusion regarding whether our economy is seeing
inflation, deflation, or nothing. Also, we often hear the economic “experts”
warning us about a possible return to a recession – known as a “double-dip”.
Then, on the other hand, they will report economic data while referring to our
current recession. Which is it? Are we in a recession or not?
Let’s
analyze what the data is showing us. Pictures are often easier to understand
than the written word.
First off, we need to clearly define our terms.
Inflation is an increase in the overall “money” supply relative to a level of
goods and services. This increase of “money” will be absorbed into the economy
and cause prices to rise, since there is a greater amount of money to spend.
Each unit of “money” will be worth less than its value prior to the
inflation.
Deflation is a reduction in the supply of “money” relative to
a level of goods and services. Less “money” causes each unit of “money” to be
worth more, since there are fewer units to go around. Goods and services will
decrease in price in order to attract the scarce “money” supply.
I put
the term “money” in quotes, since it refers to credit as well as physical
currency. Each time you put a charge on your credit card you are increasing the
money supply and helping to create inflation – even if you plan on paying the
balance off at the end of the month. Defaulted loans decrease the money supply
and contribute to deflation, since that “money” will never be paid
back.
We are currently in an economic climate where the international
banks are creating massive credit destruction all across the industrialized
world. They loaned out easy credit to the masses for a long time, and then
proceeded to pull the rug out from under those borrowers in order to acquire the
underlying assets that the loans backed.
All of this defaulting credit
(“money”) has destroyed our nation’s overall money supply. It has driven us
into a deflationary spiral. People are losing their jobs, houses, and
benefits. This has created a situation where our Federal government has found
themselves in a quandary. They have three basic means of getting revenue to
keep their greedy power structure in place:
1) Taxes and fees. These are
going down since fewer people have jobs. Congress wants to increase taxes on
those that still have jobs in order to recover some of this lost
revenue.
2) Stealing. Our government steals any money that is left over
in the various “trust” funds each year and uses it for other purposes. They
replace those stolen funds with a bunch of IOU’s that will need to eventually be
paid back by the future labor of you, me, and following generations. The
Federal government is currently having a hard time finding anything to steal,
since fewer people are working and contributing to the “trust” funds of Social
Security, Medicare, etc. There are more payments going out to recipients each
year than there are funds being collected. This is why Congress passed the
recent Health Care bill in order to create a gigantic “trust” fund based on our
health care premiums. Their goal is to capture these dollars into a pile that
they can then steal from.
3) Selling US Treasury bills, bonds, and
notes. The Federal government has been selling Treasury securities as fast as
they can. It’s the only current revenue generator that they can ramp up to keep
their greedy machinations going. Each bill, bond, or note that they sell is a
promise of our future labor to the bearer. Our government sells us as debt
slaves. “Slave” may be a strong word – but what do you call it when somebody
sells someone else’s future labor without explicit permission? I call it
slavery.
The following data can be explored via the St. Louis Fed web site if
so desired.
We are going to explore the myriad of ways that the US
government has been creating new debt (payable by our future labor) in an effort
to offset the destruction of credit being purposely carried out by the
international banking system. This first graph shows US government “net
outlays”. In other words, how much more are they spending than they are taking
in from one of the three methods I mentioned earlier:
This graph
is showing data on a year-over-year basis. Each point on the line shows how
much more the US government is spending than it was exactly one year previous.
We can see that the government was keeping their increased spending to around
$200 billion per year up until mid 2006. There was then a drop in 2007 to where
the government was “only” spending $100 billion extra from the previous year.
Now look at where things sit. This data shows that the government was spending
about $550 billion dollars more in late 2009 than it was in late 2008. And it
was spending about $250 billion more in late 2008 than it was in late 2007.
This is why we have a projected $1.5 trillion dollar deficit for fiscal year
2010.
This next chart show how fast the Federal government’s gross debt
is going up year after year. Remember, all of this debt is backed by our future
labor:
We can see
that the debt level in late 2009 was going up at a rate of $1.9 trillion dollars
as compared to late 2008. Debt in late 2008 was $1 trillion dollars higher than
late 2007. Do you now see how hard the Federal government is trying to replace
the “money” being lost to intentional debt destruction by the international
banks?
The next graph shows the “receipts” that the Federal government is
seeing come in their door through taxes and fees:
Federal receipts are falling off a cliff due to so many
without jobs or underemployed. The data from late 2009 shows us that receipts
were down more than $400 billion dollars from late 2008. Receipts in late 2008
were down about $50 billion from late 2007.
Conclusion
The
US Federal government has undertaken an enormous effort to keep the populace
from seeing the economic deflationary spiral depression that we are truly in.
There is no “risk” of a “double-dip” recession, since we have never left the
first recession/depression. We are seeing where the Federal government has
taken the place of the consumer in many ways. They are fighting tooth and nail
to maintain their wicked power structure.
Many in the citizenry are
oblivious to the true proportions of the problem. They believe the smiling
people on the television screens that tell them how our nation is slowly
climbing out of the recession. Nobody seems to care that these propaganda
mouthpieces don’t have anything similar to an inkling of what they’re talking
about. They wait to see what the market does and then they write a story
“explaining” why it did it.
Economics is not hard if one understands the
basic tenets, built on the bedrock of God’s revealed word. We must not only
understand the underlying problems, but seek to apply scripture towards arriving
at a better path forward.
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